Desire index86
Waitlist
87
Community
100
Saves
69
Analogue
81
Forecast · first 14 days
740–1,060 units
Confidence is low, based on 7 comparable drops. This tightens as history grows.
Status
DROP 27 · MANSION IBIZA · IN 12 DAYS
Studio.
Phase 2 · IllustrativeForecasts need 6+ drops of real history to be reliable. Nude Project has 6 today. The figures on this page are simulated to show the shape of the output, not a live prediction.
Design pipeline
Nine candidates. The desire index is a weighted mean of four measured signals, the breakdown sits under every bar, and the drawer shows the arithmetic.
Desire index81
Waitlist
100
Community
80
Saves
37
Analogue
79
Forecast · first 14 days
440–570 units
Confidence is high, based on 7 comparable drops. This tightens as history grows.
Status
Desire index70
Waitlist
79
Community
48
Saves
88
Analogue
65
Forecast · first 14 days
290–370 units
Confidence is high, based on 4 comparable drops. This tightens as history grows.
Status
Desire index68
Waitlist
47
Community
100
Saves
42
Analogue
87
Forecast · first 14 days
880–1,180 units
Confidence is medium, based on 4 comparable drops. This tightens as history grows.
Status
Desire index66
Waitlist
74
Community
54
Saves
77
Analogue
58
Forecast · first 14 days
470–670 units
Confidence is low, based on 7 comparable drops. This tightens as history grows.
Status
Desire index63
Waitlist
46
Community
48
Saves
91
Analogue
97
Forecast · first 14 days
540–670 units
Confidence is high, based on 7 comparable drops. This tightens as history grows.
Status
Desire index61
Waitlist
48
Community
80
Saves
43
Analogue
76
Forecast · first 14 days
630–790 units
Confidence is high, based on 4 comparable drops. This tightens as history grows.
Status
Desire index60
Waitlist
49
Community
74
Saves
54
Analogue
69
Forecast · first 14 days
540–730 units
Confidence is medium, based on 7 comparable drops. This tightens as history grows.
Status
Desire index56
Waitlist
34
Community
80
Saves
39
Analogue
81
Forecast · first 14 days
290–410 units
Confidence is low, based on 4 comparable drops. This tightens as history grows.
Status
Size curve · last 4 drops
Demand is reconstructed from units sold plus unmet demand on sizes that went to zero. Markdown is priced at 35% off the average category price.
Units on the wrong size
539
last 4 drops
Markdown cost
€12,856
at 35% depth
Worst category
knitwear
€3,422
knitwear
In knitwear we over-produce L by 3 points and under-produce M by 5.
94 units on the wrong size · €3,422 of markdown · 1,889 units produced
Produced Actual demand
S14% → 14%
M35% → 40%
L32% → 29%
XL19% → 17%
pants
In pants we over-produce S by 2 points and under-produce XL by 3.
87 units on the wrong size · €2,406 of markdown · 2,888 units produced
Produced Actual demand
S19% → 17%
M32% → 32%
L34% → 33%
XL15% → 18%
tee
In tee we over-produce XL by 3 points and under-produce L by 2.
174 units on the wrong size · €2,375 of markdown · 5,808 units produced
Produced Actual demand
S23% → 23%
M29% → 30%
L30% → 32%
XL18% → 15%
denim
In denim we over-produce M by 3 points and under-produce S by 6.
57 units on the wrong size · €2,374 of markdown · 954 units produced
Produced Actual demand
S23% → 29%
M36% → 33%
L29% → 27%
XL12% → 11%
hoodie
In hoodie we over-produce L by 3 points and under-produce S by 2.
39 units on the wrong size · €1,283 of markdown · 1,567 units produced
Produced Actual demand
S21% → 23%
M30% → 30%
L34% → 31%
XL15% → 15%
accessories
In accessories we over-produce S by 3 points and under-produce M by 2.
88 units on the wrong size · €996 of markdown · 2,926 units produced
Produced Actual demand
S20% → 17%
M32% → 34%
L33% → 34%
XL15% → 15%
outerwear
In outerwear the buy matches demand within a point, leave the curve alone.
0 units on the wrong size · €0 of markdown · 2,020 units produced
Produced Actual demand
S14% → 14%
M32% → 32%
L33% → 33%
XL20% → 20%
Restock decisions
Every call combines sales velocity with community volume. The inverse alert, sells slowly and nobody is talking about it, is the one that saves money.
Farniente Tee Navy
RESTOCK39€ · 72% sell-through · 90 units/day · 10 mentions · M sold out
M gone at 72% sell-through, with 1,152 waitlist signups and 10 comments still asking for it, demand outlived the launch spike.
lead time 6 weeks · same mill
Creative Dept Hoodie Chocolate
RESTOCK89€ · 80% sell-through · 51 units/day · 7 mentions · M sold out
M gone at 80% sell-through, with 1,258 waitlist signups and 7 comments still asking for it, demand outlived the launch spike.
Creative Dept Hoodie Cream
RESTOCK89€ · 76% sell-through · 57 units/day · 12 mentions · M sold out
M gone at 76% sell-through, with 991 waitlist signups and 12 comments still asking for it, demand outlived the launch spike.
Sailor Straight Denim
DO NOT RESTOCK119€ · 57% sell-through · 39 units/day · 1 mentions
Sells slowly and the community isn't talking about it, the weakest mover of the last four drops at 57% sell-through, with only 1 mention in 30 days.
Sailor Cardigan Navy
HOLD119€ · 64% sell-through · 47 units/day · 0 mentions
64% sell-through is respectable but community volume is thin (0 mentions in 30 days), hold until the Drop 27 halo tells us whether the interest is real.
Forecast ranges across the pipeline run 4,820–6,450 units for the first 14 days. Confidence tightens as history grows.